In absolute numbers, there will be approximately 63.5 million new entrants to the working age group of 15-59 years between 2011 and 2016. Further, it is important to note that the bulk of this increase in the population is likely to take place in relatively younger age group of 20-35 years. Such a trend would make India as one of the youngest nations in the world. In 2020, the average Indian will be only 29 years old, compared to 37 in China and the US, 45 in West Europe and 48 in Japan. This trend is seen significant on the grounds that what matters is not the size of the population, but its age structure. A population “bulge” in the working age groups, however large the total population, is seen as an important advantage characterised as a “demographic dividend”. Hence, this report, inter alia, aims to focus on the young age groups and suggest ways and means to utilise this „demographic dividend‟ to contribute to the overall economic growth of the country.
Generation of productive and gainful employment with decent working conditions is viewed as a crucial strategy for „inclusive growth‟ (Planning Commission, 2010). Further, it is equallyP a g e | 3important to make the employment opportunities accessible to all, especially poor and weaker sections of the society. This would require a proper understanding of the nature and characteristics of the existing and emerging labour market situation in India so that along with overall employment growth, issues relating to the weaker and disadvantaged groups are adequately addressed in all relevant policies.Indian labour market is characterised by complex situations which arise due to a host of factors. These include full time and part time workers, variations in the availability of work during different seasons of a year, workers engaging themselves in multiple jobs, workers ready to work at low wages, social and cultural factors restricting large number of women workers to participate in labour market, etc.1. These features lead to varied estimates of total labour force and employment in India. In 2004-05, the estimates of total labour force in the country varied from nearly 420 millions (as per Current Daily Status-CDS) to nearly 470 million (as per Usual Principal and Subsidiary Status-UPSS) (see Boxes 1 &2).Although the range of variation in the estimates of labour force may look intriguing, the same has very strong implications. The difference between the two estimates essentially arises because the lower estimate of 420 million does not capture those persons who join labour market for short periods of time. However, a large proportion of those persons whose participation in the labour market is of irregular nature may join the labour force on sustained basis if enhanced employment opportunities are provided.In addition to the overall variations in the estimates of labour force in the country, the gender dimension of the labour force is equally important to understand. In general, women participation in labour market has been typically low in India. Only 25 to 30% women in rural and 15 to 18% in urban areas participate in labour market. One of the reasons of low participation of women in labour force is the non-recognition of a number of women centric works as economic activities (such as cooking, collection of fuel and fodder, house and utensils cleaning etc.). Moreover, variety of social and family related constraints compel women to confine themselves to household activities at their prime working age. Early exit of women (probably post marital age) from labour market is particularly reflected in urban areas where women face inadequate social and family support system. However, it is important to recognise that women participation in labour market has significantly increased in recent years, particularly in urban areas2. Further, most of the increase in women participation in labour market is contributed by young women in urban areas. Since India is committed to creating a gender friendly labour market environment, there is increasing realisation to broaden the definition of economic activities on the one hand and to provide a conducive working environment on the other, so that women‟s contribution to the national economy is properly recognised.In this context, the present report strongly puts the idea of re-defining „economic activity‟ for public debate so that women‟s contribution to economic growth could be recognised properly in economic terms and a number of social and family related barriers could be addressed through policy interventions.
Employment and Unemployment Measurements in India
National Sample Survey Organisation (NSSO) has been conducting quinquennial surveys on a regular basis since 1972-73 to generate national level data on employment and unemployment in India. The NSSO has, over time, developed and standardised measures of employment and unemployment. The NSSO collects data on employment and unemployment using three broad measures or approaches: 1. Usual Status; 2. Current Weekly Status; and 3. Current Daily Status. The Usual Status is further categorised at two levels: 1. Usual Principal Status; and 2. Usual Principal and Subsidiary Status.
Usual Status relates to the activity status of a person during the reference period of last 365 days preceding the date of survey. The activity status on which a person spent relatively longer time (major time criterion) is considered the Usual Principal Status (UPS). To decide the usual principal activity status of a person, a two-stage classification is used to determine the broad activity status, viz., employed, unemployed and out of labour force within which, the detailed activity status is determined depending on the relatively longer time spent in the activities. Besides the usual principal activity status, a person could have pursued some economic activity for a smaller period, not less than 30 days. The status in which such economic activity is pursued is the subsidiary economic activity status of that person. If these two are taken together, the measure of Usual Principal and Subsidiary Status (UPSS) i.e. usual status is obtained.
Current Weekly Status (CWS) of a person is the activity status obtained for a person during a reference period of 7 days preceding the date of survey. According to this, a person is considered as a worker if he/she has performed any economic activity at least for one hour on any day of the reference week, and is obtained on the basis of daily activities performed on each day of the reference period.
Current Daily Status (CDS) of a person is determined on the basis of his/her activity status on each day of the reference week using a priority-cum-major time criterion (day to day labour time disposition). Broadly, a person is considered working (employed) for the full day if he/she worked for 4 hours or more during the day.
Labour Force, Labour Force Participation Rate, Work Participation Rate and Unemployment Rate
Labour Force (LF): Labour force constitutes all the persons who are either working (or employed) or seeking or available for work (or unemployed).
Labour Force Participation Rate (LFPR): Labour Force Participation Rate is a measure of the proportion of the country’s population that is engaged actively in the labour market, either by working or seeking work. It provides an indication of the size of the supply of labour available to engage in the production of goods and services.
Work Participation Rate (WPR): Work Participation Rate is a measure of the proportion of the country’s labour force who are engaged in work. It provides information on the ability of the economy to generate employment.
Unemployment Rate (UR): Unemployment rate is the proportion of the labour force that does not have employment and is actively looking for work.
EMPLOYMENT SITUATION
The latest comprehensive labour market survey was conducted by NSSO during 2004-05. The next survey on employment and unemployment for the period 2009-10 has been started by NSSO in July, 2009 and will be completed by June, 2010. It is important to mention here that MoL&E has also taken a decision recently to conduct annual labour market surveys. The first such survey will be conducted for the period 2009-10. Based on the 2004-05 survey, the estimates of total employment in the country varies from 385 million (as per CDS measure) to 459 million (as per UPSS measure). However, the data does not reflect the impact of Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (MGNREGA) on rural employment as it was enacted in September, 2005.
Overall assessment of employment situation based on UPSS in the country over relatively two longer periods, i.e.,1983 to 1993-94 (Period I-10.5 years) and 1993-94 to 2004-05 (Period II- 11 years) suggests that employment growth in period I was 2.06% per annum as against 1.87% in the period II
This high growth in employment achieved during the first half of the present decade is one of the positive outcomes of the fairly high growth of 6 to 8% per annum of the Indian economy during the same period. The high economic growth provided enhanced business opportunities in the country leading to increased demand for labour and hence employment growth. However, it is important to recognise at this stage that the employment growth during the first half of the present decade has not been uniform across various population segments. First, the employment growth was much higher in urban areas than in rural areas. Second, the employment growth has been significantly higher for urban females than for all other three segments of population viz. rural males, rural females and urban males.
UNEMPLOYMENT SITUATION
Unemployment in India is not a straightforward issue that can be either estimated directly with a single measuring rod or addressed with a single policy initiative. Even if a person is not reported to be unemployed on a particular point of time, he/she may be actually unemployed/under employed. Poor and weaker sections of society, particularly those who are engaged in subsistence agriculture and low income earning self-employment activities frequently face this situation as they do not get employment round the year. Hence, various approaches are used to measure different dimensions of unemployment in the country. The estimates for 2004-05 varied from 10.8 million (as per usual status – widely referred to as „open unemployment‟) to 35 million (as per daily status which includes both open unemployment and underemployment). Hence, addressing underemployment along with open unemployment is important for policy initiatives, particularly, from the point of view of „inclusive growth‟.
As far as the question of „open unemployment‟ is concerned, it has to be tackled by creating new employment opportunities in the labour market. The issue of underemployment, however, may require a variety of policy measures ranging from creation of new job opportunities to measures related to social security for workers, introducing innovative technology etc. Promoting rural non-farm employment is considered as an important policy measure to address under- employment in the rural areas.
Another crucial issue relates to the youth unemployment. Analysis of unemployment data for the year 2004-05 reveals that unemployment rates are very high in urban areas, particularly, in the age group of 15-24 years (Figure 3). Further, female unemployment rate in the age group of 20-24 years is the highest at approximately 27%. Among males, the highest unemployment rate is reported in the 15-19 years age group both in rural as well as urban areas. However, in the 20-24 years age group, male unemployment rates are 12% and 16% in rural and urban areas
respectively. Overall, in rural areas unemployment among youth (age 15-24 years) is approximately 12 to 15%.
CENTRE RELEASES REPORT ON EMPLOYMENT
The Directorate General of Employment and Training, Ministry of Labour and Employment released its first Annual Report to the People on Employment in New Delhitoday. One of the central ideas of the Report is that high economic growth and growth of quality employment reinforce each other. Recognizing low level of earnings and poor working conditions of casual labourers and a part of self employed workers, the Report argues for increasing the share of organised sector employment in total employment of the country, particularly in the manufacturing and service sectors. The Report strongly puts the idea of re-defining ‘economic activity’ for public debate so that women’s contribution to economic growth could be recognised properly in economic terms and a number of social and family related barriers could be addressed through policy interventions. The Report firmly puts on the agenda to best utilize the ‘demographic dividend’ by focusing on generating gainful employment for youth, in general, and young women, in particular.FOR GOVERNMENT OF INDIA ANNUAL REPORT TO THE PEOPLE ON EMPLOYMENT CLICK HERE
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